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Forecast
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NWS Wind Chill Advisory (Alleghany County)

Current Conditions
Sparta

Temp: 25.7°F
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Sparta , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Friday, February 12, 2016 at 6:54AM

Light Snow Today; Big Cold Saturday

Light snow develops this morning lasting into the afternoon. Then tonight, an arctic blast arrives accompanied by snow showers and flurries. By Saturday morning, most of our area will will have picked up a dusting to 2"; however, a mountaintop 4" result is possible. See our Forecast Accumulations Forecast Map for details. The story tonight and tomorrow becomes wind and bitterly cold temperatures. Winds tonight and Saturday morning become NW 20-30 with gusts to 50 mph. Daytime temperatures Saturday will fall from sunrise highs. Windchills will be well below 0 (-30s windchills on mountaintops). Winds gradually diminish Saturday night.

A strong low develops early next week in the Southeast. It's looking more like a snow (Sunday night into Monday) to mix to rain (by late Monday), then back to snow showers (by Tuesday afternoon). It's far too early for details.

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Friday

Hi: 31 Lo: 13

Cloudy; Light snow becoming snow showers at night; Light SW wind, becoming NW 15-25 mph tonight with gusts to 50 mph late
Saturday

Hi: 16 Lo: 7

Generally cloudy AM with snow showers tapering to flurries; Falling temps; Decreasing PM clouds; NW wind 20-30 mph with AM gusts to 50 mph, becoming 5-15 mph Sat. night
Sunday

Hi: 26 Lo: 19

Frigid start to the day; Lots of clouds; Light snow developing Sun. night; Light wind becoming SE 5-15 mph
Monday

Hi: 34 Lo: 32

Cloudy; Snow changing to a wintry mix and then to rain; Gradually rising temperatures Mon. night
Tuesday

Hi: 42 Lo: 28

Generally cloudy; Early rain changing to snow showers

Further Out

Wednesday - Lots of clouds; Cannot rule out spotty light rain or light snow; High in the upper 30s; Low in the mid 20s
Thursday - Scattered clouds; Seasonal temperatures; High in the mid 40s; Low near 30 degrees

Forecast Discussion

Low pressure is gaining strength as it moves across the Southeast today. Tonight, it develops more off the Carolina Coast, but that's a few hours late and fifty cents short of a good snow for us. Expect light snow developing this morning into the afternoon. Behind the low however, a strong arctic blast arrives with snow showers and flurries lasting into Saturday. Snow totals for most of the region will be a dusting to 2" with an isolated 4" report mountaintop report possible.

Tonight, the storyline quickly changes from "light snow" to "big cold". Winds become NW 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph late tonight and Saturday morning. Daytime high temperatures Saturday will be at sunrise then fall to single digits (negative single digits on mountaintops). Wind chills will be in the negative teens for most and -20s/-30s on mountaintops. Strap down and bundle up!

Sunday is cold and generally cloudy as low pressure develops in Texas. Today, computer guidance is in general agreement with a low track across north Georgia, then Upstate SC, turning NNE and heading into New England on a track well inland. While nothing is settled with this system, this track would allow warmer air into the Southern Appalachians. Precipitation would start as snow (Sunday night into Monday), change to a wintry mix (Monday) then to rain (late Monday), then back to snow showers (Tuesday) before ending Tuesday evening. Any snow total forecast you see at this point is utterly useless. Things will come into better focus over the weekend.

The early week storm will signal a significant pause in our 10-12 day winter onslaught. Wednesday will have lots of clouds and chilly temperatures (cannot completely rule out sprinkles or flurries). Then Thursday we begin a gradual warmup that will last at least through next weekend.

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