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Forecast
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Current Conditions
Roaring Gap

Temp: 70.9°F
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Roaring Gap , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Wednesday, May 25, 2016 at 12:04PM

Fly in the Ointment?

The Bermuda High will nose into the Deep South for the next few days, bringing very warm temperatures and hit or miss PM showers and thundershowers. We’ll have more cloud cover the next couple days as well.

The tropical or sub-tropical system developing off the SE coast may actually dry us out a bit on Saturday. Thereafter it’s still too early to say just how wet it will get. Right now, scattered showers and t-showers Sunday-Tuesday is a good compromise between some rather extreme solutions in the weather models.

RelayWithRay.Com continues along the Virginia portion of the Blue Ridge Parkway. You can follow Ray’s daily blog posts at relaywithray.com/blog/.

Wednesday

Hi: 77 Lo: 56

Partly cloudy; The warm-up continues; Cannot rule out a PM shower or t-shower; Light wind, becoming SW 5-15 mph
Thursday

Hi: 79 Lo: 57

Partly cloudy; Isolated PM showers and t-showers; Very warm; SW wind 5-15 mph
Friday

Hi: 78 Lo: 57

Partly cloudy; Another day of isolated PM showers and t-showers; Warm weather continues; SE wind 5-15 mph
Saturday

Hi: 77 Lo: 56

A good deal of sunshine & warm; Cannot rule out a PM shower or t-shower
Sunday

Hi: 75 Lo: 57

A mix of sun and clouds; Isolated PM showers and t-showers

Further Out

Monday - Partly to mostly cloudy; Scattered mainly PM showers & t-showers; High in the mid 70s; Low in the upper 50s
Tuesday - Partly to mostly cloudy; Scattered showers & t-showers; High in the mid 70s; Low in the mid 50s

Forecast Discussion

As the Bermuda High settles in for a visit, temperatures and moisture levels will increase to near summertime levels, and afternoon showers and t-showers will begin to sprout over the High Country. A weak upper low will help a bit in this regard. It will also bring more clouds into the region Today and Thursday. For Saturday there are signs that sinking air will develop across the Southern Apps, drying us out for that day at least.

For Memorial Day we have some big model differences with the handling of the tropical or sub-tropical system that will spin up over the SE coast at the end of the week. One model camp is weaker with the tropical low, but has much more moisture pushing into western Carolina. The other camp has a more consolidated tropical low off the coast, which actually keeps us much drier and warmer. I wouldn’t be surprised if a little of both didn’t turn out to be true. Therefore, it’s not looking like a washout, but we do have a healthy coverage of showers and t-showers in the forecast centered on Monday and Tuesday.

Notes and asides: The official start to the Atlantic hurricane season is June 1. Coincidentally, the weather forecast models are suggesting that we might have our first tropical depression or storm off the Southeast coast of the United States sometime around Memorial Day. The last time we had a tropical storm over Memorial Day weekend was Beryl in 2012.

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